Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, until a few years ago, could astonish. Now the pattern of his primary political strategy boringly repeats itself.
The pattern started in 2009 with Erdogan’s shocking tirade against then Israeli President Shimon Peres. “When it comes to killing,” Erdogan told Peres at the Davos meeting, “You know very well how to kill.” In the following years, that romantic neighbourhood-bully behaviour against major powers added to his popularity at home — in addition to the anti-Zionist rhetoric and Jew-bashing that boosted his popularity both at home and on the Arab Street.
The target “tyrant” did not have to be non-Muslim. “Dictator Sisi” — his reference to Egypt’s President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, and the “Tyrant, murderer of Damascus” — his reference to Syrian President Bashar al-Assad are still common currency.
Crowds vowed to march to war after him if he decided the mighty Turkish army should reach the gates of Damascus, Cairo or Jerusalem.
They cheered and cheered. In the personality of Erdogan, they were going to find the lost soul of their great imperial past. Erdogan, a smart politician, knew very well that even the talk of reverting back to “our glorious days” would suffice to mobilize “victory-hungry” masses behind him. You did not have to start the Third War to satisfy their thirst and convert it into votes.
This explains why Erdogan in later years diverted his empty, inflammatory rhetoric to the ailing European Union (EU). His — and his cabinet ministers’ — rhetoric regarding the EU looked (and still looks) quite “Duterte-ish” — ready to push people out of helicopters. That can be hardly surprising. This is what the “average Turk” wants to hear: The tough, brave guy challenging the world’s major Western powers.
The same holds true for the United States. The past few years have featured the same story between Ankara and Washington:
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