The pollsters suggested yesterday that Hillary Clinton was almost certain to win the Presidency, as Reuters gave her a 95% chance, and the Huffington Post put it at 98 per cent. Nate Silver, the guru famed for predicting Barack Obama’s victories, was positively restrained in suggesting she only had a 71.4% chance of success. But Donald Trump has confounded them all by duly being elected the next President of the United States.
The tide began to turn soon after the results started to emerge, as the Republican billionaire’s scooped up the key swing states of Florida, North Carolina and Ohio early this morning. The president-elect struck a tone of conciliation in his victory speech after his combative campaign, declaring: “Now it’s time for Americans to bind the wounds of division…it’s time for all Americans to come together as a united people”. He said that he was “reaching out” to voters who didn’t back him for their “guidance and help”. “The forgotten men and women of our country will be forgotten no longer”, he added. Make sure to follow our liveblog for the latest updates as America digests the results.
The reaction to Trump’s election has been passionate. Nigel Farage told the Telegraph that it will represent a “massive result” for Britain, and that “there will be some celebrations I expect”. “I know most of his team very well, many of them are my friends,” he added. As the British government prepares to deal with the Trump administration next year, it’s worth nothing that the Ukip leader is now the most Trumpophile British politician around. Don’t forget that just months ago MPs debated whether to ban the next President from Britain. Meanwhile, panicked Americans have been researching how to emigrate online in response to the news, although they may be reassured by President Obama, who told Americans last night that “no matter what happens, the sun will rise in the morning”.
The prospect of a Trump presidency has sent markets into free fall, as the Mexican peso hit a record low. Yen and gold rushed higher as investors went running to safe haven assets while the London futures market fell by more than 4% and US stock markets tumbled by more than 5% in after-hours trading. You can follow more of the markets reaction on our liveblog.
As the implications of America’s decision becomes clear, read on in this briefing for our best analysis and post-election commentary. We’ve taken a look at what the first 100 days of his presidency could entail. One thing is certain: the last 24 hours have been ‘yuge’ for the world.